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Posturing Putin, bears and brinkmanship

2/20/2015

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This week the escalating tensions between Russia and NATO are beginning to bother me – the report of a Russian Bear bomber flying not quite into our airspace (rather an area of interest) but nonetheless being escorted away by the RAF has been followed up by this piece on the BBC…

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/blogs-magazine-monitor-31537705

...about how to spot a Russian bomber.

Are you slightly alarmed by these developments or is it just me?

What next I wonder – will the BBC or the Government start to remind us of the contents of the infamous eighties leaflet entitled “Protect and Survive”?

In part related to the plane spotting; our country’s leaders are being accused of intelligence inadequacies over failings to appreciate the depth of Russian antagonism towards its neighbours becoming NATO members. If we are to believe the propaganda, other ex USSR states are in real and present danger of being Ukrained (partially annexed).

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-31545744

The lesson - Russia may have left communism and embraced western style capitalism but we make a mistake in thinking that the Russian government now thinks/will behave like its EU counterparts.

I presume that the existing economic sanctions are having an impact because Putin has resorted to posturing with his military. But, as a matter of some importance, the EU intelligence communities need to determine the point that tips the balance from economic conflict towards armed conflict.

What else should our elected representatives be doing on our behalves?

I am not sure but I hope that the politicians can divert some of their collective imagination away from May focused electioneering to effectively responding to Putin’s brinkmanship.

Hopefully it’s not just sending some NATO aircraft spotting guides to the Kremlin or organising some equally provocative Baltic flybys.

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